In the world of polling, Quinnipiac is well known to be left-leaning. But with under a month until the big show kicks off, President Trump has shown he is gaining speed in key swing states according to none other than Quinnipiac!
Looks like that “Blue Wall” of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin could ALL fall to the MAGA train!
2024 GE: Quinnipiac (2-Way)
MICHIGAN
Trump: 51% [+5]
Harris: 47% [-4]
——
WISCONSIN
Trump: 49% [+1]
Harris: 47% [-2]
——
PENNSYLVANIA
Harris: 49% [-2]
Trump: 47% [+1][+/- change vs 9/12-16]
——
#17 (2.8/3.0) | 10/3-7 | 3,902 LVhttps://t.co/Ewt2zNKmDw pic.twitter.com/oRj9v6JDM0— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 9, 2024
Overall, the identical polls by Quinnipiac a month apart show President Trump with momentum in all three of these critical swing states, according to Fox News:
According to surveys from Quinnipiac University, Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, holds a 49% to 46% advantage over Trump, the Republican standard-bearer, in Pennsylvania.
But the former president edges the vice president 50% to 47% in Michigan and 48% to 46% in Wisconsin.
Harris’ three-point edge in Pennsylvania is down from a 6-point lead in Quinnipiac’s previous survey from a month ago.
The results in Michigan, where Trump is up by 3 points, are a switch from last month, when Quinnipiac’s survey indicated Harris leading by 5 points.
And in Wisconsin, where the new poll gives the former president a 2-point edge, it’s a slight change from September, when the vice president held a 1-point edge.
#NEW 2024 BATTLEGROUND MAP based on recent Quinnipiac polls
Trump: 276
Harris: 245
Not polled: 17 pic.twitter.com/BEqNAsi99L— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 9, 2024
That same Fox News story also pointed out the critical nature of these states historically, for instance in the 2020 Biden victory over President Trump:
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, along with Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, had razor-thin margins that decided President Biden’s 2020 White House victory over Trump. And the seven states are likely to determine if Trump or Harris wins the 2024 presidential election.
When Quinnipiac has the democrat candidate losing in MI and WI then you know it’s going to be an absolute disaster election for democrats. pic.twitter.com/FRulaWQxSK
— The Conservative Compass (@Keep_USA_Free) October 9, 2024
Also covering this shift from Quinnipiac’s left-leaning nature was Just The News, correctly recognizing that if a poll like Quinnipiac is showing that much consistent gain on the part of a Republican just 30 days apart — that can only be good news for President Trump!
In what can only be viewed as good news for former President Donald Trump, one of the more left-leaning polling outfits has found him carving out a material lead in two key battleground states.
Widely regarded as one of the nation’s left-leaning polls, the Quinnipiac University survey of battleground states found trump with 50% support in Michigan, compared to Harris’s 47%, and 2% breaking for other candidates.
In Wisconsin, Trump led with 48% support to Harris’s 46% and 2% backing someone else. He remained behind in Pennsylvania, where Harris led with 49% to his 46%. Again, 2% backed other candidates.
The survey is somewhat unusual in that it shows Michigan and Wisconsin breaking for Trump, but not Pennsylvania, which has generally been the most competitive of the three in other surveys.
Nevertheless, could Trump win Wisconsin and Michigan, he may not need Pennsylvania should he sweep the Sun Belt.
In an election cycle that has been anything but “normal”, with serious pundits asking questions like, “Can Trump flip New York?”, the idea that he may also flip Wisconsin and Michigan are not as far fetched as history would make it seem!
It is easy to underestimate just how wide spread the distrust and even hatred is for the current regime. In the arena of the internet, the loudest voices get represented the most. But in the real world, it isn’t that way. And I would suggest there are an awful lot of very mad, quiet people out there, ready to cast their ballot for Trump-Vance come November.
Of course… not everyone is happy about this. And plenty of democrats have taken to the internet to attack the poll as not serious, or simply error prone. Here is footage captured of one of those democrats, and their classic reaction:
The left after seeing the Michigan and Wisconsin polls from Quinnipiac today pic.twitter.com/4QMAA2zHN7
— Gimme3Steps (@TheSouthGAJohn) October 9, 2024
The left after seeing the Michigan and Wisconsin polls from Quinnipiac today pic.twitter.com/4QMAA2zHN7
— Gimme3Steps (@TheSouthGAJohn) October 9, 2024
Personally, I have to agree with Matt. This thing might just be over, with polls like this. President Trump has NEVER over-polled with Quinnipiac.
This thing is over. He’s NEVER OVERpolled with Quinnipiac. Vote vote vote pic.twitter.com/mv9k8fRBVC
— Matt (@mattykinsX) October 9, 2024
I wouldn’t suggest there is room to breath just yet — there are plenty of days left for the democrats to throw some surprises Trump’s way. And frankly, I don’t think they’ve played all their cards. Nevertheless, it’s good to see polling that shows what everyone knows is happening; Kamala’s momentum is dead, and President Trump is still picking up the pace.
All the way to the White House!!!
This is a Guest Post from our friends over at WLTReport.