Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says his government spent the past year preparing for the possibility that President Trump could order U.S. military action against Canada.
Carney called that scenario an “extreme tail risk” rather than his expected outcome. In the same interview, the globalist prime minister laid out a much broader plan to reduce Canada’s reliance on the United States.
CTV’s headline sent the story racing across social media:
#BREAKING: PM Carney prepared for ‘risk’ that Trump might order U.S.-led military invasion of Canada: report https://t.co/CL9owoaFsp
— CTV News (@CTVNews) September 24, 2026
The New York Times interviewed Carney in Manhattan on Wednesday and reported that he had examined the chance of U.S.-led military action during his first year in office.
Carney declined to describe the preparations in detail. He framed the exercise as standard risk management rather than a prediction that war between the longtime allies is likely.
“I think you have a responsibility in these roles to look at extreme tail risk,” Carney said. He described the review as risk management and said failing to prepare would be irresponsible, even though he does not consider military action the likely scenario.
The qualification is important: Carney did not say an American attack was imminent. Yet a Canadian government openly gaming out military action by its largest trading partner is still an extraordinary sign of how far the relationship has deteriorated.
A Canadian commentator broke down the interview and Carney’s “tail risk” explanation:
CARNEY IS NOW STUDYING THE POSSIBILITY OF AMERICAN MILITARY ACTION AGAINST CANADA.
What’s there to study. If they wanted to take over Canada with its military it would take 15 min for complete take over.
He calls it an extreme tail risk that would be irresponsible not to…
— Marc Nixon (@MarcNixon24) September 24, 2026
Carney’s military contingency was only one part of the interview. He also described a systematic effort to make Canada less dependent on American technology, defense equipment, trade and financial power.
One immediate target is Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.
“Starlink, we will diversify away from, no question,” Carney told the Times.
Canada is also reviewing its planned purchase of 88 American-made F-35 fighter jets. Ottawa has been considering Sweden’s Saab Gripen as an alternative, even though the F-35 previously scored far higher in Canada’s own fighter evaluation.
Carney said his government is pursuing deeper economic ties with China, while drawing a line against a defense partnership with Beijing. His government has already opened the door to more Chinese electric vehicles as it looks for markets outside the United States.
He also repeated his long-held view that a financial system dominated by the U.S. dollar is unsustainable. A world with several reserve currencies, Carney argued, would give countries “more flexibility.”
The Gateway Pundit highlighted the sharp contrast in Carney’s position: he is preparing for an extreme military scenario involving America while pushing Canada toward Chinese trade, non-American defense systems and less reliance on the dollar.
The report focused on four parts of his agenda. Carney wants alternatives to Starlink, is reviewing Canada’s order for 88 F-35s, favors deeper economic engagement with Communist China and supports a world with multiple reserve currencies instead of unquestioned dollar dominance.
The outlet argued that this program threatens the close friendship and economic relationship Canada has historically enjoyed with the United States. It also pointed to the potential impact of Chinese electric-vehicle imports on Canada’s domestic auto industry.
Carney insists the opposite, saying diversification will make Canada more resilient and could ultimately make it a stronger partner for Washington. That is a hard sell after he disclosed military contingency planning involving the United States and pledged to move government systems away from an American satellite provider.
The interview produced an immediate backlash from American conservatives:
Carney declares himself an adversary. Treat him like one. https://t.co/b2Zygv2YM2
— TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) September 24, 2026
Despite all of that, Carney said he remains optimistic that trade negotiations with President Trump can resume after talks collapsed in August.
He pointed to Canadian potash as one possible foundation for a deal. Canada supplies nearly 90 percent of the potash imported into the United States, and Carney said Canada, America and possibly Mexico could become self-sufficient in fertilizer.
That leaves Carney trying to sell two messages at once.
He wants Canadians to believe America is dangerous enough to require military contingency planning and sweeping economic diversification. At the same time, he says a mutually beneficial trade deal remains possible and Canada will ultimately be a better U.S. partner.
President Trump will decide whether he sees that as prudent planning—or as a hostile globalist pivot away from America.
This is a Guest Post from our friends over at WLTReport. View the original article here.






