Here we go again.

Pennsylvania’s 2026 election numbers have landed almost exactly on the same 85%-15% pattern now raising alarms across the country.

And this time, the pattern showed up in all 67 Pennsylvania counties.

The researchers behind the “Truth Is Freedom” account say Republican candidates repeatedly finished with roughly 85% of an earlier Republican benchmark, while the missing 15% effectively benefited Democrats.

They call it the “15% band,” the “0.85 formula” or the “15% diversion.”

Now Pennsylvania has dropped directly into that same band.

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The statewide arithmetic is undeniable.

Republican Stacy Garrity received 1,913,406 votes in the current 2026 results.

Republican Doug Mastriano received 2,238,477 votes in Pennsylvania’s certified 2022 governor’s race.

Divide Garrity’s total by Mastriano’s total and you get approximately 0.855—or 85.5%.

That is almost a direct hit on the formula researchers had already identified in other 2026 races.

But Pennsylvania’s numbers get even more eyebrow-raising from there.

Every one of the Commonwealth’s 67 counties reported fewer Republican votes than in the 2022 governor’s race, according to the county-by-county analysis published by Truth Is Freedom.

The county ratios reportedly clustered mostly between roughly 77% and 92% of the prior Republican vote, centered on that statewide 85.5% result.

Not one county broke the other way.

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Meanwhile, Democrat Gov. Josh Shapiro’s statewide raw-vote total barely moved.

Shapiro received 3,031,137 votes in 2022. The current 2026 results show him at 3,035,249—a difference of only 4,112 votes.

So the Democrat total remained almost perfectly flat while the Republican total fell by more than 325,000 votes.

That is the kind of pattern that deserves hard questions, complete data and a transparent answer—not another lecture telling voters to stop looking.

Fox News’ current Pennsylvania results show Garrity at 1,913,406, Shapiro at 3,035,249 and Libertarian Ken Krawchuk at 64,914, with 99% reporting.

The displayed gap between Shapiro and Garrity exceeds 1.1 million votes, while the small remaining unreported share cannot materially change the statewide winner.

The page also provides the county-by-county returns behind the statewide totals, allowing readers to inspect where each candidate gained or lost support instead of relying on one headline number.

Those returns are still unofficial until Pennsylvania completes its canvass, audits and certification. Totals may move as eligible provisional, military, overseas and remaining mail ballots are processed, but the current count is complete enough to test the 85.5% comparison that triggered this controversy.

The official 2022 totals are recorded in the Pennsylvania General Assembly’s certified election record.

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That record lists Mastriano at 2,238,477 votes and Shapiro at 3,031,137, along with three minor-party candidates and write-ins that pushed the 2022 gubernatorial total above 5.36 million votes.

Shapiro won 56.5% in 2022 while Mastriano finished at 41.7%. The current 2026 count puts Shapiro near 60.5%, Garrity near 38.2% and Krawchuk near 1.3%.

Different nominees and turnout levels can move raw totals between elections. This comparison is politically explosive because the Republican decline landed almost precisely on the previously identified 85% band while Shapiro’s raw total remained almost unchanged.

Here is the raw statewide comparison:

Then comes the political bombshell.

Truth Is Freedom says restoring that 15% Republican decline would reverse all four Pennsylvania House flips and return the delegation to the same 10 Republican–7 Democrat split voters produced in 2024.

The stakes are congressional control, not an academic statistical exercise.

If the same pattern holds across multiple states and races, the consequences extend far beyond Pennsylvania.

The researchers allege an algorithmic system produced the pattern before ballots were counted.

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No public forensic record has established that specific mechanism. The underlying numbers, however, are real and remain unexplained.

It certainly does not justify dismissing Americans who can see the same ratio repeating across the map and want to know why.

Patterns are evidence worth investigating. They are not, by themselves, final proof of the alleged mechanism.

The correct response is not censorship, ridicule or blind trust.

The correct response is a full public audit capable of testing the claim.

Pennsylvania has now begun a statewide risk-limiting audit of the governor’s race.

According to the state’s official audit announcement, county officials will hand-tally randomly selected batches of paper ballots and compare those totals with the voting-system counts.

The governor’s race was selected because it was Pennsylvania’s only contested statewide race. Ten Department of State employees rolled ten-sided dice to produce the random 20-digit seed used to select the ballot batches for review.

Pennsylvania calls the procedure a “batch comparison” risk-limiting audit designed to test whether a full hand count would produce the same reported winner.

Counties must complete the risk-limiting audit by November 19 and certify results by November 23. Every county must also conduct the separate audit required by state law, using a random sample of at least 2% of ballots cast or 2,000 ballots, whichever is fewer.

Those safeguards matter only if the results are released with enough detail for the public to verify what was counted, what differed and how officials resolved every discrepancy.

Good. Now release everything.

Publish the selected batches, hand-count totals, machine-count totals, county discrepancies and final audit report in a form ordinary voters can inspect for themselves.

If there is an innocent turnout or candidate-based explanation for Pennsylvania landing on the same 85%-15% pattern identified elsewhere, the complete data should make that clear.

If the hand counts uncover meaningful discrepancies, officials must investigate immediately and publicly.

Either way, “trust us” is not an answer.

Pennsylvania’s Republican total fell by more than 325,000 votes.

Shapiro’s total barely changed.

All 67 counties moved in the same direction.

And the statewide ratio landed at 85.5%.

Those are the numbers. Now Pennsylvania officials need to show voters exactly how they got there.

This is a Guest Post from our friends over at WLTReport. View the original article here.

 

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