Just over a week since being devastated by catastrophic flooding, Kerrville, Texas, and the Hill Country faced a “serious flood threat” Saturday night into Sunday.

“A MODERATE RISK of EXCESSIVE RAINFALL has been issued for Kerrville, the Texas Hill Country, and Concho Valley tonight. This is not a typical storm system—there is a real and growing threat of major overnight flooding,” the United Cajun Navy wrote.

United Cajun Navy provided these key details:

6–12 inches of rainfall possible in localized areas, including Kerr County, with hourly rainfall rates up to 3 inches.

Some forecast models even suggest totals could exceed 10 inches before sunrise.

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Recent rains have left the ground saturated, meaning flash floods could develop rapidly.

The National Weather Service has extended a Flood Watch through 7 PM Sunday for:

Kerrville, Fredericksburg, Burnet, Austin, San Antonio, and surrounding Hill Country

Expect scattered thunderstorms tonight, with widespread totals of 1–3 inches, and much higher in some locations

Why This Is So Dangerous in Kerrville:

The Guadalupe River and nearby creeks are still sensitive from earlier flooding.

This region lies within Flash Flood Alley, where rocky terrain and steep slopes send water rushing downhill fast.

Critical Time Window: Tonight through early Sunday morning—the first 4 hours of storms could cause the worst flooding

REMEMBER: This region is still recovering from the July 4 floods that killed at least129 people. We cannot have another night like that.

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Avoid the following tonight if possible:

Low-water crossings

Roads near creeks and washes

Areas along the Guadalupe River

Stay Informed:

Check alerts from NWS New Braunfels (EWX) and San Angelo (SJT)

Have weather radios and phone alerts ON

IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED:

Move to higher ground immediately

Do not drive into floodwaters — Turn Around, Don’t Drown

Stay safe, stay alert, and don’t take chances tonight.

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“Increasing confidence of potentially significant flash floods late tonight and early Sunday in the Texas Hill Country. The WPC has upgraded these areas to a MODERATE RISK of excessive rainfall, which unfortunately includes the hard hit Kerrville area,” meteorologist Collin Gross said Saturday night.

USA TODAY confirmed:

The hard-hit Texas Hill Country has a flood watch in effect through the evening of July 13, according to the National Weather Service office serving Austin and San Antonio.

Between 1 and 3 inches of rain could fall, with isolated amounts of nearly 6 inches possible in areas, the weather service said in an X post the morning of July 12. Runoff may result in dangerous flash floods of low-lying areas, which can include rivers, creeks and other low-water crossings.

Officials said the watch includes the southern Edwards Plateau, which includes Kerr County, and along the Interstate 35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio. The watch is in effect until 7 p.m. July 13.

More than 19 million people are under flood watches in Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico on July 12, according to the National Weather Service.

The weather service office serving Austin and San Antonio warned of the potential for locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding in hard-hit areas of Texas Hill Country through July 13.

KSAT provided additional details:

You’ve got a 60% chance to see rain today through tonight. Because the ground is so saturated from recent floods, we’ll have to monitor for incidents of flooding today, especially across the Hill Country.

A FLOOD WATCH has been issued for the Hill Country and north Bexar County until Sunday evening. Pockets of 1 to 3 inches of rain are entirely possible, and a bullseye of up to 8+ inches of rain could happen anywhere in the Watch area.

There is an area in the Atlantic near Florida that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring for development. As of now, it only has a 20% chance of development into a tropical depression or stronger.

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We’ll be watching this area closely, because it could drift west toward the Texas coast by Friday into the weekend. We will keep you posted!

 

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