A new Harvard-Harris 2024 poll shows Donald Trump with a clear lead over President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.

Trump has 46% of the hypothetical vote, ahead of Biden who has 41%. Of those who were surveyed, 13% said they were unsure.

Harris also trails Trump, who has 48% of the vote versus Harris’ 40%, and 12% unsure.

In a comparison between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) and Biden, DeSantis led the theoretical race at 42%, with Biden trailing at 39%.

Pining Harris against the Florida governor, Harris has 40% of the vote, while DeSantis has 43%.

In both hypothetical elections, Trump is predicted to outperform DeSantis against Biden and Harris. Although DeSantis also comes in ahead of Biden and Harris, Trump appears to be the clear favorite for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.

Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey said that, although Trump currently has more support than DeSantis, the latter has more potential to grow his support base, especially since he has not yet announced a 2024 presidential bid.

“Trump has strengthened somewhat but Ron DeSantis continues to strengthen as well,” said Penn. “Trump is ahead but already has every vote he can get – DeSantis is the candidate of potential.”

Former Vice President Mike Pence came in third place for potential 2024 GOP candidates at 7%. Senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley tied for fourth place with just 3% of support.

This survey was completed by Harvard University’s Center for American Political Studies (CAPS), The Harris Poll, and HarrisX. 2,050 registered voters were polled on January 18 and 19.

Of the respondents, 42% “strongly” or “somewhat approve” of the job Biden has done as president.

61% of respondents think that the U.S. is on the wrong track, and 66% believe the country’s economy is on the wrong track.

Penn commented on these numbers, saying, “The economy and immigration continue to be weak spots for Biden, and on top of that, has come the classified document imbroglio that has taken away the post-midterm glow. His state of the union is a critical speech for him and whether he will reach across the aisle.”

The survey also asked respondents what Congress should pass this year, and 85% reported wanting them to pass a measure that would protect Social Security for the next two decades.


Meanwhile, 59% of respondents said they wanted Congress to repeal the hiring of 87,000 IRS agents.

Join The Conversation. Leave a Comment.

We have no tolerance for comments containing violence, racism, profanity, vulgarity, doxing, or discourteous behavior. If a comment is spam, instead of replying to it please click the ∨ icon below and to the right of that comment. Thank you for partnering with us to maintain fruitful conversation.